The Future: Microsoft, Apple, Adobe, Google
Recently, Robert X. Cringley at PBS pulished an article on his website about “For Apple’s Windows Strategy to Work, It Must Replace Microsoft Office and Buy Adobe Systems“. The article is very interesting and a friend of mine, Eric Garafalo ( a MAC and Apple enthusiast ) had a good chat about Microsoft’s, Apple’s and Adobe’s potential future.
http://www.pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/pulpit20060427.html
[11:01] Garafalo: i just got done reading this. it is built on a few previous articles that he wrote and he is pro-apple, but i think that you will find the point of the article to be both interesting and possible
[11:01] Garafalo: PBS | I, Cringely . April 27, 2006 – Killer Apps
[11:05] d-mode: interesting
[11:05] Garafalo: yeah, i think nothing would make steve jobs/apple happier then finally sticking it to microsoft
[11:06] d-mode: oh yeah
[11:06] Garafalo: though i don’t know if it is the best thing for adobe/macromedia
[11:06] d-mode: yeah
[11:09] Garafalo: he alluded to the windows api in his article. that was really interesting that he talked about in a previous one. the short story is this, when ms gave apple a bunch of cash in 1997, it wasn’t just to get stock but to end the patent infrigement cases that the two companies had for each other.
[11:09] d-mode: right
[11:10] Garafalo: but by doing so it was also that the other company now had rights to certian technologies that the other one patented.
[11:10] Garafalo: so while MS picked up a bunch of apple tricks, this guy is saying that apple got its hands on the windows api and is looking to leverage that into its next os
[11:11] Garafalo: where you will be able to run windows apps on a mac with nothing else installed, and get better performance then on windows
[11:11] Garafalo: if that is true….. bill is going to be less then thrilled
[11:12] d-mode: yeah…he’s not the smartest guy in the world
[11:15] d-mode: how much would you wager that deal would be worth? adobe and apple?
[11:15] d-mode: 3-4 billion?
[11:15] Garafalo: maybe even 5
[11:16] Garafalo: adobe would diversify apple like no other aquisition
[11:16] d-mode: hmmm
[11:16] d-mode: why not think even bigger….Apple/Abobe/Google????
[11:16] Garafalo: becouse photoshop is like office, anyone who needs this type of app doesn’t use a knockoff
[11:16] Garafalo: you only use photoshop
[11:17] Garafalo: i think google is too big for apple
[11:17] d-mode: what if it was the other way around?
[11:17] d-mode: Google buys Apple
[11:17] Garafalo: thier stock is way to high to even speculate on someone thinking about buying them out
[11:18] Garafalo: it could, but i think apple… more importantly… steve jobs wants to win before he sells
[11:18] d-mode: true
[11:18] Garafalo: that is what he did with pixar. he didn’t sell until he proved that they were the king of the hill
[11:18] Garafalo: then inked an amazing deal
[11:19] d-mode: but…would he sell it to the right people, like google, just to piss MS off?
[11:19] d-mode: since MS showed interest in Google
[11:19] Garafalo: i mean John Lassider, the creative genious at pixar, is basically the god of disney
[11:19] d-mode: yes
[11:20] Garafalo: he dictates what animated movie are made for all of disney and has direct control on the new projects for the disney theme parks
[11:20] Garafalo: i mean, he walked into disney day one and said, stop working on toy story 3 and that was that
[11:21] d-mode: yeah, exactly…I think Disney realized that Pixar had them by the throat
[11:21] Garafalo: right and then they gave pixar… but really steve anything and everything he wanted
[11:22] d-mode: yup
[11:22] Garafalo: so here is my guess
[11:22] Garafalo: nothing will happen to apple or steve until he wins
[11:23] Garafalo: then either they will sell it or steve will step down for a perfect protege
[11:23] Garafalo: but he won’t do that until he wins
[11:24] d-mode: I can see that…and MS is really looking at some bad times in the future….
[11:24] d-mode: with Appple, Google, Linux…they are doomed
[11:24] Garafalo: vista in 2007 is really bad for them
[11:26] Garafalo: especially since, vista is tiger made into windows. apple is going to release show off their new os in august, and if i was a betting man, i would guess that they are going to make vista look very dated.
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